NYSE: TOL · Residential Construction

Toll Brothers (TOL) stock sentiment

Over the past week, Toll Brothers (TOL) saw about 23 mentions across Reddit, X and news, and the read is an Adanos Sell. The crowd averages 32% bullish across the tracked sources. Wall Street is more constructive, with 13 of 18 analysts rating TOL a buy.

There is little buzz around TOL this week and broad agreement on direction, which is why it reads as a Sell.

Wall Street vs the crowd on TOL

Wall Street’s 72% buy share sits next to a crowd that ranges from X at 25% to News at 38%. No other tracker puts the two side by side.

Analyst ratings

Strong Buy
Buy 13
Hold 4
Sell 1
Avg target $171.87

18 analysts have weighed in: a Strong Buy consensus: 13 buy calls against 1 sell, with an average 12-month price target of $171.87.

18 analysts72% buy share

Crowd sentiment

Sell
Crowd bullish 32%
Spread 13 pts
Most bullish News 38%
Most bearish X 25%

The Adanos signal blends each source’s bullish ratio, source breadth, buzz intensity and 3-day momentum. This week bullish sits just below the neutral line, momentum is mixed and the 3 sources broadly agree, so the read is a Sell.

3 sourcesMixed

Who is bullish on TOL

13pt spread
Wall St
72%
News
38%
Reddit
33%
X
25%
Wall Street (analyst buy share)Crowd average 32%

Analysts sit 40 points above the crowd average of 32%, the professionals are more constructive than retail. The split is inside the crowd: News reads 38% bullish while X sits at 25%, a 13-point spread that single-source trackers miss.

Why TOL reads Sell

Sell -26.9
Bullish Average
Average sentiment is 32.0% bullish, below the 50% neutral line.
-23.4
Trend
Momentum is balanced: 1 up, 1 down, 1 flat.
0.0
Buzz
Discussion intensity is 29.4, well below the usual midpoint.
-2.0
Source Breadth
This signal is based on 3 tracked sources.
+1.5
Consensus
All 3 sources lean bearish, so the score gets a small penalty.
-3.0

Toll Brothers (TOL) buzz score vs. EOD price

Over the 30-day window, Toll Brothers (TOL) buzz held subdued around 20.9 while the price drifted down 6.1% across the period. The chart tracks how social and news attention moved against end-of-day price. Average daily trading volume across the displayed trading days is 1.1M shares. Updated Sep 26, 2026. Over the last 7 trading days, TOL gained 2.2%. Buzz activity in the recent week averaged 27.7 and was relatively stable, swinging between 18.8 and 36.8. Recent volume is running above the 30-day average, suggesting heightened trading interest. Daily crowd sentiment leaned bullish on 14 of the 19 days with directional mentions, shown as the green, grey and red breakdown bars below the chart.

How each source saw TOL this week

Signal metrics use the latest 7 days; contributor and breadth context uses the 30-day chart window.

Reddit 7-day signal

Open source page
Buzz 21.6
Bullish 33%
Mentions 3
Trend Rising
3 subreddits · 30-day context7-day sentiment +0.1
Bullish 33%Neutral 67%Bearish 0%
r/ValueInvesting Neutral
Loudest Reddit venue in the 30-day context window with 3 mentions.

X 7-day signal

Open source page
Buzz 32.2
Bullish 25%
Mentions 4
Trend Stable
4 tweets7-day sentiment +0.0
Bullish 25%Neutral 50%Bearish 25%
@aurelius28 · 30-day context Bearish -0.5
“Man builders are trash rn $NVR $LEN $DHI $PHM $TOL $MTH $KBH and then I look at $POOL and $SITE and it's even worse. The whole complex is g…”
♥ 16↻ 2👁 6K views

News 7-day signal

Open source page
Buzz 34.5
Bullish 38%
Mentions 16
Trend Falling
8 publishers · 30-day context7-day sentiment +0.1
Bullish 38%Neutral 62%Bearish 0%
MarketBeat · 30-day context Neutral 0
“Toll Brothers Inc. (NYSE:TOL) Director Stephen East sold 800 shares of the firm's stock in a transaction dated Thursday, September 24th. Th…” Led by Nasdaq and Stocktitan.

Polymarket signal

No Polymarket data for this stock this week.

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Toll Brothers (TOL) at a glance

This week’s sentiment from Adanos, with fundamentals and analyst consensus. A quick-reference snapshot for Sep 26, 2026.

Adanos signalSell
Analyst consensusStrong Buy (13 / 4 / 1)
Crowd bullish (7d)32%
Avg price target$171.87
Most bullish sourceNews, 38%
Most bearish sourceX, 25%
Sentiment spread13 pts
Mentions (7d)23
Market cap$12.52B
P/E · Forward P/E10.9 · 10.0
EPS · Beta$12.46 · 1.3
Revenue (TTM)$10.76B · 11% margin
IndustryResidential Construction

Toll Brothers (TOL) stock sentiment FAQ

Is Toll Brothers (TOL) a buy or sell right now?

Based on aggregated sentiment from Reddit, X and News sources, Toll Brothers (TOL) currently carries an Adanos sell signal with 93/100 conviction. The current cross-source average reads 32% bullish across 3 active sources. Those sources contribute 23 tracked mentions over the last 7 days. This is a sentiment-based reading, not financial advice.

What does Reddit say about TOL stock?

Reddit discussion around Toll Brothers (TOL) is fairly quiet with 3 mentions over the last 7 days; the 30-day context spans 3 tracked subreddits. The 7-day tone is 33% bullish; 3-day activity momentum is rising, suggesting building attention.

Is Toll Brothers (TOL) bullish or bearish right now?

The crowd reads bearish on Toll Brothers (TOL), averaging 32% bullish across 3 tracked sources over the last 7 days. The two ends of the range are News at 38% bullish and X at 25%, a 13-point spread. On the professional side, 13 of 18 analysts rate TOL a buy.

What do analysts say about Toll Brothers (TOL)?

Of the 18 analysts covering Toll Brothers (TOL), 13 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell, for a strong buy consensus. The average price target is $171.87. That puts the street ahead of the crowd, which averages 32% bullish.

What is the sentiment on TOL stock?

Toll Brothers (TOL)'s cross-source average is bearish at 32% bullish. All 3 tracked sources lean bearish. Reddit reads 33% bullish, News reads 38% bullish and x coverage is the most negative at 25% bullish. The combined signal points to broad sell-side pressure with 93/100 conviction.

Why does TOL carry a sell signal right now?

The cross-source average is bearish for Toll Brothers (TOL) at 32% bullish. All 3 tracked sources lean bearish. The most bearish reading is x at 25% bullish. 3-day activity momentum is falling on News, while reddit activity is rising. The sell signal carries 93/100 conviction.

What is driving Toll Brothers (TOL) sentiment right now?

News is the dominant discussion channel with 16 mentions (70% of total volume). X contributes 4 mentions and Reddit contributes 3 mentions. The cross-source average is bearish at 32% bullish, while reddit is the only source with rising 3-day activity. All 3 tracked sources lean bearish.

What does the Adanos sell signal mean for Toll Brothers (TOL)?

The Adanos signal blends bullish ratio, buzz score, source breadth and 3-day activity momentum into a single buy/sell reading. TOL's sell signal at 93/100 conviction reflects a bearish cross-source average at 32% bullish. All 3 tracked sources lean bearish. It is a research shortcut, not financial advice.

How fresh is this TOL sentiment data?

The TOL sentiment page is regenerated from the latest 7-day tracking window at each build. Data reflects the most recent Reddit posts, tweets and news articles available in the current publishing cycle.

Peers are ranked first by matching the Sell signal, then by the closest bullish ratio. Discussion activity breaks any remaining ties.

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