Updated through the trading day

Fear & Greed Index
Dumb money vs smart money

Two crowds on one 0 to 100 scale. Dumb money is retail sentiment from Reddit and X, ranked against its own history. Smart money is the CNN Fear & Greed Index, published unchanged. This page tracks the gap.

See today's reading How it works
Last 36 sessions Aug 13, 2026
Retail 38 Fear Smart money 67 Greed Gap +29 · smart money leads

Today's reading

One gauge per crowd, with the gap between them as the headline.

EXTREME FEARFEARNEUTRALGREEDEXTREME GREED025507510038
FearRetailReddit + X social sentiment
EXTREME FEARFEARNEUTRALGREEDEXTREME GREED025507510067
GreedSmart moneyCNN Fear & Greed Index
Divergence+29smart − retail
Smart money leads. Smart money sits more greedy than the retail crowd by at least 23 points. The accumulation side: the money has moved further than the crowd talking about it. It describes the current gap, not a forecast. The gap is smart money minus retail; at ±23 points or beyond, one side clearly leads.
NowSmart money leads
+29
1 week agoSmart money leads
+32
2 weeks agoSmart money leads
+28
3 weeks agoSmart money leads
+26
Over time

Both sides over time

The retail crowd ranked against its own history, smart money as CNN publishes it. The shading flags the days when the gap is stretched: green when smart money leads, red when the crowd leads, faint when balanced. Hover any day.

Smart money · CNN Fear & Greed Retail · social sentiment Smart money leads Crowd leads
Detail statistics

The numbers behind the gauge

How far the two sides have pulled apart over the 36 days shown above, plus what fed each score today.

+29
Divergence (smart − retail)
Smart money leads
38 / 67
Retail percentile / CNN score
ranked vs own history / as published
±23
Signal band
the gap's typical spread
3
Days crowd stretched ahead
of 36 (beyond the band)
14
Days smart money ahead
of 36 (beyond the band)
Aug 10, 2026
Most stretched day
+51 pts
What's underneath the two scores today
Retail · social sentiment
Reddit57% · typical for it
X / Twitter79% · low for it
Smart money · CNN Fear & Greed
CNN Fear & Greed Index67 of 100 · greed
DayRetailSmart moneyDivergenceSignal
Aug 1338 Fear67 Greed+29Smart
Aug 1248 Neutral63 Greed+15Balanced
Aug 1116 Extreme Fear61 Greed+45Smart
Aug 1014 Extreme Fear65 Greed+51Smart
Aug 733 Fear64 Greed+31Smart
Aug 627 Fear59 Greed+32Smart
Aug 524 Extreme Fear60 Greed+36Smart
Aug 448 Neutral60 Greed+12Balanced
Methodology

How the two crowds are built

One score for the retail crowd, one for smart money. Retail is ranked as a percentile against its own history (near 0 = calmer than it has been, near 100 = greedier). The headline is the gap between them: a wide gap flags which side leads.

Retail · dumb money

The retail score is built only from Reddit and X social sentiment across the most-discussed tickers, the two venues where the retail crowd talks. It leaves out news and prediction markets, which move on different drivers. It tracks what the crowd feels in real time.

Smart money · CNN Fear & Greed Index

The market score is the CNN Fear & Greed Index, a composite of seven market-structure indicators including momentum, volatility, breadth and safe-haven demand, each weighted equally on a 0 to 100 scale. We publish the value unchanged.

Reading the divergence

Smart money leads (positive gap)

Smart money sits more greedy than the crowd. The accumulation side: quiet money leaning in while the crowd hangs back.

Crowd leads (negative gap)

The crowd sits more greedy than smart money. The distribution side: the crowd leaning in while quiet money steps back.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about the retail-versus-smart-money Fear & Greed Index.

What is the Adanos Fear & Greed Index?

It is a market sentiment indicator that splits the crowd in two and scores each side from 0 (extreme fear) to 100 (extreme greed). One score tracks the retail crowd from our own social data, the other tracks smart money using the CNN Fear & Greed Index. The signal worth watching is the divergence between them, not either number on its own.

Is this a fear and greed index or a sentiment index?

Both. It is a stock market sentiment index shown in the familiar fear-to-greed format. The difference from the classic Fear & Greed Index is that it does not roll everything into one number: it shows the classic market gauge next to what retail is actually saying, so you can watch the two sides diverge.

What is the difference between retail and smart money here?

Retail (sometimes called dumb money) is the loud, surface-level crowd: what people are saying on Reddit and X, scored by us. Smart money is the CNN Fear & Greed Index, built from market structure: momentum, volatility, breadth and safe-haven demand. The two often disagree. That gap is what the index tracks.

How is the retail score calculated?

It starts from Reddit and X bullish share across the most-discussed tickers. Each source is ranked as a percentile against its own history, then the two are averaged, so a low reading means calmer than the crowd has usually been and a high reading means greedier. It does not use news or prediction markets.

How is the smart money score calculated?

We do not calculate it. It is the CNN Fear & Greed Index, built from seven market-structure indicators weighted equally on a 0 to 100 scale. We show the value CNN publishes.

How do I read the divergence?

The index calls a side only when the gap is wider than the band shown beside it. A positive gap means smart money sits more greedy than the crowd (the accumulation side); a negative gap means the crowd sits more greedy than smart money (the distribution side). It describes the current gap, not a forecast.

Why is it often "balanced"?

Because the gap is only highlighted once it passes the band shown on the page, most days sit in the normal range. That is intended: it surfaces the wider gaps in this short sample rather than every daily wiggle.

Is the signal backtested?

Not yet in a way we would publish. The index only began in March 2026, so the history is still short, too short for a credible divergence backtest. We treat the index as descriptive for now and let the track record build as history accrues, rather than claim a predictive edge we cannot support.

Is greed bad and fear good?

On this index they are best read as contrarian cues at the extremes. Extreme retail greed while smart money sits low is the cautionary case; extreme retail fear while smart money sits high is the opportune one. The middle of the range carries little signal.

How often is the index updated?

Both sides move during the session. The retail side refreshes as new social posts arrive. CNN publishes a live reading for its index, so the page carries the current day rather than waiting for a close.

Is the index market-wide or per stock?

This page shows the market-wide composite, aggregated across the most-discussed tickers. The same retail-versus-smart-money method can be applied to a single stock using the per-stock sentiment data behind the retail score.

Can I use this for trading decisions?

It is for informational purposes only and is one signal among many. It reflects social discussion and how the market trades, not fundamentals or guaranteed outcomes. Past divergence is not indicative of future performance. Always do your own research.

Can I get this data through an API?

The retail side, yes: it comes from the Adanos Reddit and X sentiment APIs. Those feeds are the data we sell. The smart-money side is the CNN Fear & Greed Index, published by CNN, so it is not ours to license.

Enterprise
Want the retail sentiment data behind this index?

The retail side of this index runs on our Reddit and X sentiment APIs. That market data is what we offer: bullish and bearish share, mentions and trend history, market-wide or per ticker. The smart-money side is the CNN Fear & Greed Index, shown for contrast.

View Pricing