NASDAQ: FLY · Aerospace & Defense

Firefly Aerospace (FLY) stock sentiment

Over the past week, Firefly Aerospace (FLY) logged about 54 mentions across Reddit, X and news, and the read is an Adanos Hold. The crowd averages 50% bullish but is at odds: News runs 100% bullish while Reddit sits at just 0%. Wall Street is more constructive, with 7 of 10 analysts rating FLY a buy.

There is little buzz around FLY this week and little agreement on direction, which is why it reads as a Hold.

Wall Street vs the crowd on FLY

Wall Street’s 70% buy share sits next to a crowd that ranges from Reddit at 0% to News at 100%. No other tracker puts the two side by side.

Analyst ratings

Strong Buy
Buy 7
Hold 3
Sell 0
Avg target $41.60

10 analysts have weighed in: a Strong Buy consensus: 7 buy calls against 0 sell, with an average 12-month price target of $41.60.

10 analysts70% buy share

Crowd sentiment

Hold
Crowd bullish 50%
Spread 100 pts
Most bullish News 100%
Most bearish Reddit 0%

The Adanos signal blends each source’s bullish ratio, source breadth, buzz intensity and 3-day momentum. This week bullish sits right on the neutral line, momentum is mixed and the 3 sources disagree sharply, so the read is Hold rather than a clear buy or sell.

3 sourcesWide divergence

Who is bullish on FLY

100pt spread
Wall St
70%
News
100%
X
51%
Reddit
0%
Wall Street (analyst buy share)Crowd average 50%

Analysts sit 20 points above the crowd average of 50%, the professionals are more constructive than retail. The split is inside the crowd: News reads 100% bullish while Reddit sits at 0%, a 100-point spread that single-source trackers miss.

Why FLY reads Hold

Hold 0.0
Bullish Average
Average sentiment is 50.3% bullish, above the 50% neutral line.
+0.4
Trend
Momentum is balanced: 1 up, 1 down, 1 flat.
0.0
Buzz
Discussion intensity is 28.9, well below the usual midpoint.
-2.0
Source Breadth
This signal is based on 3 tracked sources.
+1.5
Consensus
1 bullish source and 1 bearish source keep the score from getting a consensus bonus.
0.0
Wide divergence dampener applied: heavy disagreement between sources trimmed the pre-score from -0.1 to 0.0.

Firefly Aerospace (FLY) buzz score vs. EOD price

Over the 30-day window, Firefly Aerospace (FLY) buzz held subdued around 35.8 while the price drifted down 21.1% across the period. The chart tracks how social and news attention moved against end-of-day price. Average daily trading volume across the displayed trading days is 2.4M shares. Over the last 7 trading days, FLY held roughly flat. Buzz activity in the recent week averaged 44.7 and was highly volatile, swinging between 27.6 and 69.9. Recent volume is in line with the 30-day average, reflecting steady institutional and retail participation. Daily crowd sentiment leaned bullish on 18 of the 20 days with directional mentions, shown as the green, grey and red breakdown bars below the chart.

How each source saw FLY this week

Signal metrics use the latest 7 days; contributor and breadth context uses the 30-day chart window.

Reddit 7-day signal

Open source page
Buzz 0.0
Bullish 0%
Mentions 0
Trend Stable
2 subreddits · 30-day context7-day sentiment 0.0
Bullish 0%Neutral 100%Bearish 0%
r/wallstreetbets Neutral
Loudest Reddit venue in the 30-day context window with 3 mentions.

X 7-day signal

Open source page
Buzz 59.6
Bullish 51%
Mentions 51
Trend Falling
51 tweets7-day sentiment +0.2
Bullish 51%Neutral 47%Bearish 2%
@michaelsikand · 30-day context Neutral 0.05
“$RKLB $FLY $ASTS $SPCX”
♥ 302↻ 5👁 42K views

News 7-day signal

Open source page
Buzz 27.0
Bullish 100%
Mentions 3
Trend Rising
8 publishers · 30-day context7-day sentiment +0.3
Bullish 100%Neutral 0%Bearish 0%
MarketBeat · 30-day context Bullish 0.35
“Tidal Investments LLC purchased a new stake in shares of Firefly Aerospace, Inc. (NASDAQ:FLY - Free Report) in the second quarter, accordin…” Led by MarketBeat and Stocktitan.

Polymarket signal

No Polymarket data for this stock this week.

Finance Sentiment CLI

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Firefly Aerospace (FLY) at a glance

This week’s sentiment from Adanos, with fundamentals and analyst consensus. A quick-reference snapshot for Sep 11, 2026.

Adanos signalHold
Analyst consensusStrong Buy (7 / 3 / 0)
Crowd bullish (7d)50%
Avg price target$41.60
Most bullish sourceNews, 100%
Most bearish sourceReddit, 0%
Sentiment spread100 pts
Mentions (7d)54
Market cap$3.5B
EPS · Beta-$4.74 · n/a
Revenue (TTM)$287M · -129% margin
IndustryAerospace & Defense

Firefly Aerospace (FLY) stock sentiment FAQ

Is Firefly Aerospace (FLY) a buy or sell right now?

Based on aggregated sentiment from Reddit, X and News sources, Firefly Aerospace (FLY) currently carries an Adanos hold signal with 52/100 conviction. The current cross-source average reads 50% bullish across 3 active sources. Those sources contribute 54 tracked mentions over the last 7 days. This is a sentiment-based reading, not financial advice.

What does Reddit say about FLY stock?

Reddit discussion around Firefly Aerospace (FLY) is fairly quiet with 0 mentions over the last 7 days; the 30-day context spans 2 tracked subreddits. The 7-day tone is 0% bullish; 3-day activity momentum is stable, suggesting steady attention.

Is Firefly Aerospace (FLY) bullish or bearish right now?

The crowd reads split on Firefly Aerospace (FLY), averaging 50% bullish across 3 tracked sources over the last 7 days. The two ends of the range are News at 100% bullish and Reddit at 0%, a 100-point spread. On the professional side, 7 of 10 analysts rate FLY a buy.

What do analysts say about Firefly Aerospace (FLY)?

Of the 10 analysts covering Firefly Aerospace (FLY), 7 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell, for a strong buy consensus. The average price target is $41.60. That puts the street ahead of the crowd, which averages 50% bullish.

What is the sentiment on FLY stock?

Firefly Aerospace (FLY)'s cross-source average is mixed at 50% bullish. Source readings are split: 2 sources lean bullish and 1 source leans bearish. X reads 51% bullish, News reads 100% bullish and reddit coverage is the most negative at 0% bullish. The combined signal points to broad mixed pressure with 52/100 conviction.

Why does FLY carry a hold signal right now?

The cross-source average is mixed for Firefly Aerospace (FLY) at 50% bullish. Source readings are split: 2 sources lean bullish and 1 source leans bearish. The most bearish reading is reddit at 0% bullish. 3-day activity momentum is falling on X, while news activity is rising. The hold signal carries 52/100 conviction.

What is driving Firefly Aerospace (FLY) sentiment right now?

X is the dominant discussion channel with 51 mentions (94% of total volume). News contributes 3 mentions. The cross-source average is mixed at 50% bullish, while news is the only source with rising 3-day activity. Source readings are split: 2 sources lean bullish and 1 source leans bearish.

What does the Adanos hold signal mean for Firefly Aerospace (FLY)?

The Adanos signal blends bullish ratio, buzz score, source breadth and 3-day activity momentum into a single buy/sell reading. FLY's hold signal at 52/100 conviction reflects a mixed cross-source average at 50% bullish. Source readings are split: 2 sources lean bullish and 1 source leans bearish. It is a research shortcut, not financial advice.

How fresh is this FLY sentiment data?

The FLY sentiment page is regenerated from the latest 7-day tracking window at each build. Data reflects the most recent Reddit posts, tweets and news articles available in the current publishing cycle.

Peers are ranked first by matching the Hold signal, then by the closest bullish ratio. Discussion activity breaks any remaining ties.

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